Given what we know right now, probably not. But that in no way diminishes the consequences Donal Trump’s decision will have, both within the United States and beyond our borders.

Behind all the talk of tension and impasses, one can see the outlines of Donald Trump’s transactional diplomacy taking shape.

With a carrier group en route to the Korean peninsula, Pyongyang should be nervous after the Syria strikes.

A strong message was sent to Xi and Putin—in that order.

With Alexei Navalny behind bars, government threats issued, and the internet lightly censored, very few people turned out to the Russian streets this past weekend.

It’s an audacious project. But will it work?

The story is more about a power struggle than about people power.

If so, it could be a repeat of the Syria strategy: do just enough to achieve an acceptable outcome.

The outlines for how the Trump Administration thinks a “reset” with Russia might work are coming into focus. The chances for it actually working remain lower than most think.

There doesn’t appear to be much to the so-called Flynn Probe itself, but it hints to a deeply dysfunctional dynamic existing between the intelligence community and the new Trump Administration.