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Nils Gilman
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The Crystal Ball
The Official Future Is Dead! Long Live the Official Future!

A year after Donald Trump’s improbable election, the post-Cold War Official Future has collapsed—and in its place have emerged a bewildering array of possibilities.

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panem et circenses
Is a Competent Trumpism Possible?

Could a more mainstream politician maintain or perhaps even improve on Trump’s coalition, while at the same time more effectively realizing his policy agenda?

European Disunion
Back in the USSR

Is the European Union heading for a Soviet-style collapse?

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The Political Economy of Illiberality
Technoglobalism and Its Discontents

The economic roots of populist rage.

Political Economy & The State
The Twin Insurgency

The postmodern state is under siege from plutocrats and criminals who unknowingly compound each other’s insidiousness.

Everyone Is Special

Most countries think they’re special, and they have a master narrative to prove it. The key to making American diplomacy more effective lies in figuring out what those narratives are.

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