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Oh Snap
May Calls for Early UK Elections as Brexit Looms
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  • D4x

    Good analysis TAI! Too bad POTUS’ state visit to the UK had to be postponed to October, because Balmoral is so much nicer in June, lest the Trumps are seen as interfering in Britain’s election.

    • f1b0nacc1

      Imagine that….an American president actually respecting the electoral process in an ally and declining to interfere! Clearly Trump is a trendsetter!

      • Andrew Allison

        I assume that you are referring to the lecturing by his predecessor on the subject of Brexit, etc.

        • f1b0nacc1

          Yes, and sorry that I wasn’t more clear about that

    • Andrew Allison

      As a refugee from UK weather, let me assure you that almost anywhere in the UK is nicer in June!

  • Beauceron

    We’ll see. Even though the Labour Party is in a shambles, it could be that an election galvanizes them and reminds them of who their opponents are. It hasn’t started well, however, as immediately after May’s announcement, two Labour MPs, including party “grandee” Alan Johnson, announced they had such ‘irreconcilable differences’ with Labour leader Corbyn that they would not stand for re-election.

    The SNP, on the other hand, has quite a bit to lose. Their bid for a second referendum post Brexit has not moved Scots, who, according to polls, would still vote to preserve the union.

    It is not without risk, though. I could see the media and Remainers turning into a second referendum on Brexit, which might not be good for May.

    • f1b0nacc1

      I would love to see Sturgeon to try to exploit this….nothing would end up helping May more. The SNP has backed themselves into a corner now, and they are locked into a very ugly zero-sum game with Labour. The Tories, on the other hand, need only sit back and enjoy the spectacle…

      • Beauceron

        I am wondering if the Tories will pick up any Scottish seats.

        • Andrew Allison

          If they do (it’s more likely that the single Labor and LibDem will lose theirs to the SNP), it won’t change anything; May & Corbyn between them will crush the Labour Party.

        • f1b0nacc1

          I would be quite surprised if they do. Most of the Scots are sufficiently far to the left as to ensure that they are simply outside the range of appeals to reason. The SNP and Labour will burn up each other’s resources, and eventually Labour will be destroyed by the drain on their not-unlimited resources. Grab some popcorn and enjoy the show

          • Beauceron

            They were, literally, at the bottom. I think they had no seats in the whole of Scotland for quite a while. Now they have 1.

            Predictions are that, after the election, they may have 4:

            “He predicted the Nationalists could win 50 of Scotland’s 59 seats, with the latest polls showing the Tories going up from one to four. Labour and the Liberal Democrats also currently have one Scottish seat each.”

            http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/18/ruth-davidson-general-election-will-show-snp-party-going-downhill/

            Not sure how reasonable that is, but I think they will gain a few.

          • f1b0nacc1

            Likely enough they will. The SNP is a clown show (but then what would you expect from the Scots?), and other than independence and ‘more stuff for us’, they really don’t have a platform or any motivating cause. Labour will fight on the margins, as they are likely to lose a ton of seats further south. The two will beat each other bloody for the forseeable future.

            Couldn’t happen to a nicer bunch….

      • Andrew Allison

        Exactly!

      • Beauceron

        You seem to be getting your wish.
        May has jumped on it too, calling it a “Coalition of Chaos.”

        http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/19/nicola-sturgeon-says-snp-will-seek-progressive-alliance-labour/

        • f1b0nacc1

          One of my favorite aphorisms is ‘never interrupt your enemies while they are committing suicide”

  • Gary Hemminger

    The Corbynites are just like the progressives here in the US. they are on a suicide mission with their open border, politically correct, anti-business, global warming, identity politics policies. As long as they keep embracing these suicidal policies, they will continue to lose. the only thing that they possess that might save them is the sheer lunacy of the other side. May isn’t as much of a loony as Trump. but relying on the other side to destroy themselves has proven to be a winning policy. So both sides get more loony as time goes on.

  • f1b0nacc1

    This should be fun to watch. Labour under Corbyn has become increasingly unelectable, so this represents a clever move by May to deliver a killing blow.

  • Andrew Allison

    Good grief! May already has a mandate for Brexit negotiations (the referendum). What she’s seeking is a means to overcome the attempts of the opposition parties and the House of Lords to prevent her from exercising it.

  • Angel Martin

    knowing Labour, after they get creamed they will dump comrade Corbyn in favour of someone even more mental:

    https://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/9975/production/_88058293_000141757-1.jpg

    • f1b0nacc1

      That is the biggest problem with this in my mind. Corbyn is the Tories best asset at this point, his very presence divides Labour and guarantees that they will never consider reforming themselves. If Labour decides to get rid of them following an electoral debacle in June, they might (likely by accident) put someone reasonably competent or capable in charge.

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