Saudi Aramco is Riyadh’s state-owned oil company, and it’s set to go public some time next year. Estimates of its initial valuation range from $400 billion to $800 billion or, if you’re a Saudi official, $2 trillion—which, if those Riyadh optimists are right, would make Saudi Aramco the world’s most valuable company. This IPO is attracting keen interest in China, whose government is putting together a consortium bid to become a “cornerstone investor” in the Saudi firm. Reuters reports:
Half a dozen sources with knowledge of the discussions said China Investment Corporation (CIC), the country’s $800 billion sovereign wealth fund, oil majors Sinopec and PetroChina, and the country’s state-run banks were among the state-backed entities set to participate in the Chinese investment consortium. […]
“The IPO will help decide whom, or which country, can secure the crude supplies from the company and Saudi Arabia going forward,” [one person involved in discussions between Aramco and potential Chinese investors said], adding the size of each company’s stake in the Chinese consortium would depend on its current relationship with Aramco and the Saudi government.
The Saudis are only selling off 5 percent of this oil company, but that could still raise as much as $100 billion (again, assuming their valuation is the correct one). China’s interest is worth noting, however, as it fits into a pattern Beijing has exhibited in recent months. China is buying record amounts of crude from West Africa, and in February it overtook Canada as the top buyer of American crude exports. We’ve also seen China snatching up greater supplies of North Sea oil.
Part of this is motivated by China’s own flagging oil production, itself a product of a global decline in crude prices that has made much of the country’s own operations unprofitable. To meet demand, Beijing is having to look abroad for supplies, and it’s doing what any smart investor does: diversifying.
The Saudi Aramco IPO will be one of the major stories of 2018, and China’s involvement adds an interesting twist.