Dismal Jobs Report Boosts Romney’s Chances
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  • thibaud

    If the economic bad news keeps coming, then the election won’t even be close – despite what the polls say or don’t say. If the unemployment curve in Sept-Oct is rising, then the incumbent will be blown out in a landslide election a la 1980.

    OTOH if unemployment stabilizes, then the election will be very close, and the Democratic incumbent will have the edge due to the inherent demographic advantages and the swing state math. The Republican would have to run the tables on _all_ the key swing states, FL OH VA CO, and this isn’t going to happen unless the economy gets worse.

  • Jacksonian Libertarian

    This election is going to be like the 1980 Reagan-Carter landslide, and for the same reason, a weak leader that isn’t up to the job.

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