Russia 2018-2024
The Framework of the Power Structures

Does Putin have anything to offer Russia in 2018 other than further concentrating power in his own hands?

Published on: August 21, 2017
Andrew Wood is an associate fellow of Chatham House and a former British Ambassador to Belgrade, and subsequently to Moscow (mid 1995–early 2000).
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  • Putin might not have much to offer but the west and especially Germany, Sweden, Italy, and France give him the boost to stay. Russians don’t want some Soros/Merkel funded anti Russia regime to be installed and import third world economic migrants and terrorists. They can guarantee that won’t happen with Putin.

    • Otis

      Not so! In fact, Putin was way ahead of Merkel in terms of importing economic migrants, along with some terrorists. On Putin’s watch, Moscow has become the second-largest Islamic city in Europe after Istanbul.

      • It matters where they are from! Islamic could mean Iranian or wahabi Saudis. Could be Indonesian. You don’t see the mass rapes and terror attacks in Russia like you do in Sweden and Germany. So sad. Those used to be nice places. But change is inevitable I guess and sometimes it’s bad

  • Angel Martin

    I notice that there was absolutely no discussion of Kremlin media control in this article.

    I guess that presenting a media that was totally in favour of one party, didn’t cover politicians they don’t support, covered up unfavourable stories, demonized opponents as tools of foreign powers… that narrative might hit a little too close to home !

  • Kevin

    Interesting, but some basic facts/statistics on the economy, budget, standard of living, population, etc over the last 20 years would hav made it more convincing.

    I’m far from a Russia expert, but my impression is that the standard of living is higher, the threat of societal collapse is lower, and life is less precarious than during the 90s, and this buys Putin a lot of leeway. Given the collapse in oil prices and sanctions, one might have expected much greater economic and political troubles. With the opposition thoroughly squashed, even a minor rebound in the economy should leave Putin and his clique pretty secure over the next few years – the biggest danger they face is probably from each other if there’s a falling out among the elite rather than from the political or economic situation they have created. The author’s focus on an eventual succession crisis seems wise, even if the contours of it are murky at best now.

  • D4x

    “Putin inherited options for transition toward a better form of liberal democracy that he chose not to take, …Russia’s economic difficulties in the wake of the global financial crisis were not enough to persuade Putin on his return to the Kremlin in May 2012 of the need to pursue ideas for economic reform discussed during the Medvedev interregnum. …But since 2008 things have become tougher and Russia’s relationships with the West have worsened.”

    TAI subscribers deserve better than the incessant demonization of Putin for failing to satisfy the “liberal international order”, as if transforming Russia into a functioning democracy with the rule of law and a free press is easy, after 1,000+ years of autocratic rule.

    Seventy years of the “liberal international order” has fundamentally transformed the United States of America:
    > burdened with TWENTY TRILLION USD of debt;
    >twenty-five years of trade deficits; a near de-industrialized wasteland;
    >a legacy media controlled by Facebook and Google; and, until January 20, 2017,
    >a dictatorial, extra-judicial regulatory state more concerned with the re-definition of pronouns and regulation of dust and puddles.
    >The immediate same-day conviction of James A. Fields, Jr for murder and domestic terrorism on August 12, 2017 completely disrespects the U.S. Constitution,Amendment 6 – Rights of Accused in Criminal Prosecutions.

    I would have more respect for TAI if someone would just once, write a thoughtful analysis of what Putin said and published February 27, 2012, and what he did since then:

    “Russia and the Changing World” By President Vladimir Putin
    RT 27 February 2012 Global Research, September 22, 2015

    “…The same holds for investments. We are trying to attract foreign capital to
    the Russian economy. We are opening up the most attractive areas of our economy
    to foreign investors, granting them access to the “juiciest morsels,” in
    particular, our fuel and energy complex. But our investors are not welcome
    abroad and are often pointedly brushed aside.

    Examples abound. Take the story of Germany’s Opel, which
    Russian investors tried and failed to acquire despite the fact that the deal
    was approved by the German government and was positively received by German
    trade unions. ..”

    It is entirely possible that the 2009 GM, under 100% US-government ownership, surprise cancellation of the
    Merkel/German union/Putin deal for Magna International and Russia’s Sberbank to buy GM’s Opel automobile operations in Europe,
    is WHY “things have become tougher and Russia’s relationships with the West have worsened”.

    • John Schwartz

      Fields has been charged, but hasn’t been convicted of anything yet. Thank you for lying about something easily verifiable.

      Russian news is fake news.

      If you want to make America great again, start by killing Russian spies.

  • FriendlyGoat

    I would expect the church to re-elect Putin because he schmoozes it.

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