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Bad News For Angela
German Report: More Violence, Rape, Theft, Radicalization Likely Due to Migrant Influx

German Chancellor Angela Merkel was furiously spinning yesterday’s proposed deal with Turkey over migrants as a “breakthrough”, while her colleague in the negotiations, Dutch PM Mark Rutte, more comically said that Turkey had “moved the goalposts, but in a positive sense.” Some of the press led with words like “breakthrough” and “game changer” in the titles of their pieces and suggested that European unity on the matter, while not guaranteed, was at least holding up admirably. (We, for the record, were a bit more skeptical.)

But back in Germany, right ahead of key regional elections this weekend, a bombshell of a story—a leaked police report on the impact of the already-admitted migrants and refugees—was dominating discussion:

The report says ‘immigration will lead to more crime and increased police usage’ to combat it.

The number of crimes – of violence, sexual, property theft and narcotic offences – will rise, says the paper of the North Rhine-Westphalian department of the interior whose ‘Immigration’ project involves both individual states and central government.

The document, entitled ‘Challenges To And Impact On The Police’, was leaked to news magazine Spiegel. […]

The report warns that as well as rising crime in the future, Islamists are ‘agitating’ in asylum homes, increasing the risk of radicalisation among disaffected refugees.

It said there have been ‘hundreds’ of incidents in the past few months where Salafists ‘have sought contact with refugees’.

Even without the report, Merkel was quickly forced to go on defense by a press that smelled blood with regards to the Turkish deal:

Asked if she and the EU were being blackmailed by Turkey as desperate ministers tried to avoid a rerun of last year’s migration crisis, when more than a million migrants flooded into Germany, Mrs Merkel replied: “No.”

“We are seeking a balance of interests,” she told the German SWR radio station. “We have our interests, Turkey have theirs.”

And her coalition, already rickety after months of disagreements over Merkel’s open door policy, appeared to wobble some more. The General Secretary of Merkel’s coalition partner party in no uncertain terms criticized the deal’s terms: “The CSU is against an EU-entry for Turkey, and against full visa-liberalisation for Turkish citizens,” he said.

Meanwhile, Merkel’s coalition was already set to take a drubbing in the upcoming regional vote according to polls:

Polls have predicted a setback for the CDU at this weekend’s regional elections. They also show that the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany party (AfD), established in 2013, would win seats in the Bundestag if national elections were held now.

Last weekend AfD pushed the Green party into fourth place in council elections in the state of Hesse, which includes the financial centre of Frankfurt, and reduced the majorities of the CDU and the centre-left Social Democratic party (SPD).

Similar results are expected from the state elections on Sunday in Rhineland-Palatinate, Baden-Württemberg and Saxony-Anhalt. Eva Högl, vice-chairwoman of the SPD in the Bundestag, the German federal parliament, said that the prospect was terrifying and that AfD was following an “unspeakable course”.

“If they enter the state parliaments with double digits, and maybe even the federal parliament, this will change the whole German community in a very negative way,” she said.

AfD must be rubbing its hands with glee as it heads into the weekend.


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  • Beauceron

    So, for the West at least, TS Eliot was right.

    Not with a bang but a whimper.

    • jaytrain

      “You there , Stetson , you who were there with me the ships at Mylae” . By 1916 , TSE was warning and mourning the Death of High Culture and now look at this mess . I search the night sky and pray for the coming of SMOD

  • Jim__L

    When will these elites figure out that they actually have to **solve problems their people are interested in solving** or they’re going to get replaced by people who admit these problems exist?

    • Tom

      Judging by their previous behavior, not until the pitchforks and torches come out.

      • Jim__L

        I wonder if lots and lots of bile will do the trick instead — although elites are now trained to dismiss those as “microaggressions” or “just being angry”, and so prone to ignore genuine issues driving them.

        Wily old Bill Clinton has actually seen farther than anyone here — he’s trying to campaign on the idea that “people look at the Obama administration’s idea of a better America, and they just don’t see themselves included in it”.

        If Bill were running himself, this narrative might get some traction… but Hillary’s narrative of “vote for me, I’m a girl!” means there’s too much cognitive dissonance to have Bill as a spokesman, what with those credible allegations of rape against him.

        I think Bernie could well get the Democrats’ nod. Bernie vs. Trump in the general — now there’s a rationale for reining in our executive if there ever was one. Truncating executive (and Federal) power at the strict limits of the Constitution, more like — the Founders were wary of just this sort of situation.

    • Matt_Thullen

      When the existing strategy of (a) ignoring the problem (especially the media portion of our elites) and (b) calling anyone who claims the problem exists a racist doesn’t work anymore.

      More than a few commentaries pin Trump’s appeal solely on the fact that he calls out problems in a manner that is designed to upset our elites. I’m starting to suspect that’s the sole basis for his appeal.

      • Jim__L

        That, and the idea in many minds that he’s figured out a way to beat the system.

      • Boritz

        Slave laborers forced to work on the construction of V2 rockets would urinate on components as a protest and in the hope it might cause actual damage and malfunction. We have joined ranks with them to a greater degree than we knew.

    • Beauceron

      The thing is, I don’t really see them being replaced. They’re just switched out with a slightly different party, who pursue many of the same core policies in a slightly different way.

      I think the West has its own version of a Deep State.

      Of course most efforts to truly shake it off leave you with candidates like Trump or Perot.

      • Jim__L

        Talented, ambitious, and appealing people are too likely to get co-opted? It’s possible.

        Our country will be best served when our elites are more skilled at co-opting ideas from the general population, instead of individuals.

    • Pete

      Deportation is the answer.

  • Anthony

    Who on the other side of the Atlantic really knows how much glee AfD has but just four months ago CSIS outlines that Europe must build an integration strategy based upon a basic understanding of what has historically worked and what hasn’t. They suggest a failure to do so will likely produce heightened xenophobic tensions, political fragmentation both within and between member states, as well as a radicalized generation of Syrian diaspora. So here we are, TAI’s report if credible.

    “If the appropriate foundational strategies are not put into place in a timely manner, European countries face risky and costly consequences of policy negligence…Europe risks having a lost generation of refugees and migrants with unpredictable consequences for the future.” (December 2015)

  • The migratory season is upon us. Have a million come? There are ten million just over the horizon.

    • CapitalHawk

      Yes. They wait in The Camp of the Saints.

    • johnschappert

      The season is winter, and the mood is discontent.

  • johnschappert

    “bella, horrida bella, et Thybrim multo spumantem sanguine cerno”

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