Battle for Ukraine
Putin’s Sitting Pretty as Ukrainian Ceasefire Ends
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  • Andrew Allison

    At the risk of being repetitious, EU membership is, like that of NATO, above the Parkinson threshold for efficacy.

  • lukelea

    The EU wants Ukraine to join their customs union (free trade area), while Russia wants it to join its custom union. The problem is that the first option is in the interest of the western half of Ukraine and against the interest of the eastern half, and vice versa. This is owing to the relative absence of industrial development in the west, and the archaic (but intense) industrial development in the east.

    I think I have this right. If so, it would go a long way towards understanding what is happening and why.

  • BobSykes

    First, we created this crisis when we engineered the coup d’etat that removed the only democratically elected government the Ukraine has ever had and replaced it with a fascist junta. Poroshenkos’ fraudulent pseudo election did not the fascist junta legitimate. Under the Ukrainian constitution, Yanukovych is still the legitimate president.

    Second, a large fraction of the eastern Ukrainians, which is mostly ethnic Ukrainian, and even some people in the western Ukraine, especially in the former Galicia, reject the junta.

    Third, there are deep political and social divisions between eastern and western Ukraine. These divisions are highlighted by the electoral map for Yanukovych’s election. He got majorities of over 60% to over 90% of the vote in the east, but he lost by similar majorities in the west.

    The only reasonable solution to the crisis is partition. The only real question is the location of the border.

    The only way to keep Ukraine a single state is by a brutal fascist dictatorship that violently suppresses the east. And that is the policy of the pseudo democracies in the US and EU.

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