Contextualizing China's Rise
Relax: China Is Not Prewar Germany
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  • lukelea

    Unfortunately old-school power politics has led to a lot of wars in the past. In fact, viewed from a great height, history is little else than the story of warring states in a relentless competition for power. The kind of competition that leads to war is both within (among elites) and between states.

    • Andrew Allison

      As your second sentence suggests, the history of Homo Sapiens(?) makes clear that the drive for power is intrinsic, and deadly. Why would anybody think for a moment that what made Homo Sapiens the dominant species wouldn’t rebound.

  • Andrew Allison

    Who on earth in their right mind would think for a moment that China is analogous to pre-war Germany? A better analogy would be the post-war Soviet Union, which recognized that it must either conquest or perish, and we know how that turned out.

  • Jim__L

    MFN status for China was probably the biggest geopolitical blunder in the last fifty years. Without that mechanism in place, China would never have become an export powerhouse, and we wouldn’t be having this conversation.

  • michaelj68

    “The more important takeaway is that, contrary to predictions that it would fade away amid globalization and democratization, old school great power politics is still very much in force.”

    One would think the events that occurred 100 years ago being remembered this year would of dispelled that notion. On the eve of August 1914, Germany and Great Britain were each other’s #1 or #2 trading partner.

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