India's Looming Election
Modi up, Congress Party Way Down Ahead of Election
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  • TommyTwo

    “The result could be a weakened coalition under Modi.”

    Is this necessarily so?

    I’m sure that Modi would like to capture all dissatisfied Congress voters, but given that Congress is the BJP’s main competition, and that the AAP is prying further workers away from Congress, and that India has a first past the post system, is your conclusion warranted? (In American terms: If there is a surge to the Libertarian party due to the Republican candidate being too much of a SoCon, the Democrats would have reason to be pleased.)

    I am very far from being an India expert; I’ll appreciate responses pointing out flaws in my reasoning or assumptions.

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