China Stats Even Shakier Than Thought?
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  • Anthony

    “It is always hard to tell what is happening in China….” Speculation, speculation in combination with unknowns can engender at best uncertainty and at worst erroneous prognosis.

  • Mrs. Davis

    Given its history China is headed for a period of chaos and warlordism when the rural folk get fed up with their situation versus those in the cities. As with the Soviet Union, the hard part is knowing when this will happen. But after it is over, China will still be there.

  • Is anyone truly surprised that at least some of China’s seeming prosperity – evidenced by empty shopping malls and high-rise office space, all quiet as tombs – is of the Potemkin Village variety? Big country, yes. But big, and often transparent, fakery, too.

  • Kris

    And lemme tell ya, my thoughts are pretty shaky.

  • re: Chinese statistics

    For those who don’t know, an important factor in the mass famine in China during the Great Leap Forward was false reporting of statistics. Mao — who was out of his mind — ordered a tripling of agricultural output through more intensive cultivation. Local authorities reported out-sized gains — they didn’t dare call the Chairman a fool — after which the government took a big share as tax to feed the urban population. On paper this should have left plenty of food in the countryside, but of course it wasn’t there. Mao lived in a bubble of fantasy and ignorance; no one dared tell him the truth. People starved be the tens of millions. Families ate their own children (young daughters) and corpses. It was the largest famine in recorded history.

    Similar motivation still rules in China. Local officials have quotas to meet if they expect to be promoted. They lie. China lies, It is a system of lies.

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