The New Malthusians
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  • Corlyss

    Fallows used to be okay as a journalist, but since Atlantic moved to DC and he moved to China, he’s become certifiably nuts.

  • Gene

    I’m having trouble seeing how highly localized fights over firewood = need for global leadership NOW! Do these people listen to themselves when they offer public statements?

  • Jacksonian Libertarian

    The Humano-centric ecology is Mother Nature’s greatest achievement.

  • Kris

    “We desperately need global leadership for planet Earth.”

    One planet, one biosphere, one leader.

  • Walter Sobchak

    Another press release on the same article:

    http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2012-06/sfu-spi060412.php

    It is more politically explicit:

    Society globally has to collectively decide that we need to drastically lower our population very quickly. More of us need to move to optimal areas at higher density and let parts of the planet recover. Folks like us have to be forced to be materially poorer, at least in the short term.

    =======

    If you want to know why “science” has lost its creditibility. This is the explanation. This is done in the name of Science, but it is not science, it is bad politics, bad religion, and bad PR.

    They publish a wave of these studies every 20 or 30 years. Remember the the “Population Bomb” and the “Limits to Growth”.

    Thank God that they are so wrong. There are more people alive now, living longer and more prosperous lives, in more places than ever before in the history of the world.

    When the first round of “Scientists” wrote their Apocalypses, China and India were synonymous with poverty and over population. Now they are the most dynamic economies in the world. The collapse of Soviet Union freed hundreds of millions people from terrible poverty and want. Even Sub-Saharan Africa is showing welcome signs of economic growth.

  • @ – “Every so often, a group of self-proclaimed experts will predict some new dire threat to civilization as we know it. Via Meadia has documented many instances of modern-day doomsayers who insist that the end is near. . . ”

    Yeah, but sometimes it turns out they were right:

    http://tinyurl.com/754y5ph

    http://tinyurl.com/825td8d

    http://tinyurl.com/7gmbsqw

    Tell me this ain’t real.

  • Berkeley economist Brad deLong takes a long view in his work – he looks at GDP per capita over the entire history of the human race. His graphs contain a powerful message. GDP per capita remained flat with minor fluctuation throughout history until 1750. Then it doubled every 50 years through 1950. Between 1950 and 2000 it quadrupled. The Malthusians look at it and say that is an unsustainable curve, and I would find it hard to argue with them. given that we have not figured out how to stretch our planet. But I would also say look again at the flat part of the curve prior to 1750 and you will realize that the population has been increasing for tens of thousands of years. Every time humans have found a way to increase their income they have chosen to increase the population, not their GDP per capita. Suddenly terraforming Mars seems less a dream than a biological necessity given that our very DNA is programmed to go forth and multiply.

  • cubanbob

    I will take these communist clowns seriously when they set an example that they belive what they say and kill themselves for the greater good. Until them its just best to ignore them.

  • Louis Wheeler

    It’s hard to tell what is real and what is bad politics.

    Take Peak Oil for instance. Is the world running out of energy? No, more energy has been discovered than was previously known. It is true that oil exploitation is leveling off, but there are a number reasons for that.

    Peak oil was never about energy, per se. It was an idea that all the cheap oil has been exploited. But, the availability of cheap energy depends on whether governments will allow energy we know about to be exploited. This depends on what technology will be used.

    If the US government won’t allow drilling in Alaska or either continental coastline, nor allow the tar sand in Colorado to be exploited, then this is sabotage, not a shortage. This is like people complaining about the effects of cartels, but won’t allow competition to exist.

    The point is that we have so much government meddling in energy markets that we can’t determine what energy is available or its cost. All we know is that no free market exists in energy. And government meddling gives many results, mostly not good.

  • Albert

    The phrase “We desperately need global leadership for planet Earth” actually means “Give us dictatorial powers because we know better than you what is good for you”. In short let’s turn the planet into Greater North Korea.

  • a nissen

    “Too Big to Know” is an interesting bore of a read that pin-points the distinction between pseudo science and Science: Science is that that can be disproven. Networking of data and computer modeling leads inevitably to predicting “what when,” but it is not the Science that scientists have trained us to think of as Science.

    We’d be wise to consider separating from politics, not just religion, but all the growing too big to know matters, as well. It might lead to more civil discourse and a break-through or two.

  • Glen

    The larger joke is Fallows himself.

    He is of a particular class of Baby Boomers who Came of Age during the 1970’s (in Fallow’s case, as a junior staffer in the Carter Administration). They have since led charmed lives either in academia, journalism or non-profits (or combinations of all three), with occasional forays into government when the Executive Branch has been led by a Saviour. Although mostly insulated from the economic shocks that have affected everyone else, they nonetheless have not amassed great wealth. Now in their fifties and facing their own mortality, they are profoundly angry – about almost everything that is the modern, capitalist Western world.

    Fortunately, most will soon retire from public life. But until they do, they represent the biggest threat to prosperity that we have seen in decades.

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