Nuclear War In The East?
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  • Kenny

    And lets remember, Mr. Mead, Russia is dying demographicaly. Fact.

    And Putin and the rest of the gang know it.

    Unless this population decline is factored in, any analysis of Russian intentions is suspect.

  • Kris

    “Under certain conditions local and regional conflicts may develop into a full-scale war involving nuclear weapons”

    Therefore, let’s clear Iran’s path to nuclear weapons.

  • rkka

    Fact: Russia’s birth rate is one of the highest of any major European country, up there with that of the UK and France, 20% higher than Poland’s, and fully 50% higher than Germany’s, Italy’s, or Spain’s.

    Fact: Russia’s death-birth gap has closed massively since 2000, so that immigration more than fills it. Russia’s population has stabilized.

    And yes, the Russian government is less than happy with the Western propensity for conspiricies to wage aggressive wars, and they are not going to get over it anytime soon.

  • Luke Lea

    One of the scariest things, in my mind, is the possibility of the use of battlefield nuclear weapons in any future land war in Asia involving Russia and China. The expanses are so vast, and the size of the forces China might muster so huge, that the mere threat of such use might not serve as a deterrent — and their actual use might not be decisive, in fact almost certainly would not be decisive. I find this to be a truly terrifying prospect. And one more reason for us to keep out of that theatre.

  • Kris

    rkka, most available sources do not quite support your claims regarding Russia’s demographics. Am I to assume that they are part of an anti-Russian “conspiricy”?

    “the Russian government is less than happy with the Western propensity for conspiricies to wage aggressive wars, and they are not going to get over it anytime soon.”

    Lord knows Russia loathes aggression. That’s why it’s partial to Non-Aggression Pacts. Any military activities it engages in are solely in order to protect the Rodina, just ask the inhabitants of Budapest or Prague.

    What’s that? I should “get over it”?

  • rkka

    “rkka, most available sources do not quite support your claims regarding Russia’s demographics.”

    Which ones? For instance, the ones on the CIA World Factbook are based on years-old projections by the US Census Bureau. They miss recent developments, such as Russia’s improving vital statistics, or the 25% drop in Latvia’s birth rate since the global financial crash in 2008.

    ” Am I to assume that they are part of an anti-Russian “conspiricy”?

    Why should you assume that?

  • rkka

    And [email protected] your having to go back forty years to find Russian aggressions, and please note that about half the years since the end of the Warsaw Pact each had more war dead inflicted in Europe than were inflicted there during the entire existence of the Warsaw Pact.

  • Kris

    [email protected]: I am glad to hear that Russia’s position relative to Latvia has improved. Today Latvia, tomorrow the world!

    [email protected]: As a certain someone once said, I am “not going to get over it anytime soon.”

  • rkka

    [email protected]: I am glad to hear that Russia’s position relative to Latvia has improved. Today Latvia, tomorrow the world!”

    The way you twist an observation about the applicability of years-old US Census Bureau projections into “…tomorrow the world!” is an amusing revelation about your obsessions.

    And yes, you can bleat endlessly about events forty years ago while ignoring far more sanguinary events happening *now*.

    And I’ll just laugh at you.

  • Kris

    [email protected]: “I’ll just laugh at you”

    And I’ll bring up (as just one example) your claim that Russia’s birth rate is fully 50% higher than Spain’s and explicitly state that you are either a liar or ignorantly peddling untruths.

    Care to back up your claim, or will you content yourself with laughing?

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