This apparently is what Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has done following a series of mysterious and extremely damaging explosions at Iran’s most sensitive nuclear and ballistic missile sites.According to the Telegraph, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has been placed on a war footing, fighter planes are practicing intercept missions, and strategic materials are being dispersed to secure sites around the country. The Supreme Leader apparently believes that the various mishaps taking place in his country are an orchestrated Israeli or American led campaign intended to soften Iran up for the final strike.To the degree that the US is involved in these events, the ayatollah is almost surely barking up the wrong tree. The Obama administration is pursuing a policy of sanctions, diplomatic pressure and perhaps more dramatic actions in the hope of avoiding rather than provoking a conflict with the Islamic Republic. This President genuinely does not want a war in Iran, but he also does not want Iran to get a bomb and he thinks our present policy mix is his best hope of avoiding that choice. The Israelis of course are a wild card, but it seems unlikely that anyone planning massive military strikes against Iran would begin by smaller, ground based attacks calculated to set the country on edge and to put its defenders on high alert.It is also possible that the Supreme Guide, rattled by evidence that his security establishment is riddled with double agents and secret enemies, feels that to do nothing following humiliatingly successful attacks is not possible. He must do something, and being unable or unwilling to attack Israel directly or through proxies, and fearing the response of the US to armed provocations, he is simply trying to look busy, effective and prepared.But the Supreme Leader is supremely right about one thing: Iran’s current relations with the US look much more like war than like peace. A miscalculation by either side could set off a conflict that both may think is inevitable, but that neither wants right now.