The New European Reality
Poll: Anti-Europe Party Surges in Netherlands
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  • wigwag

    Except that real elections often don’t mirror what the polls show.

    Just a couple of months ago, to the surprise of most interested observers, Wilders’ party stumbled quite badly in the elections for the European Parliament. As the Dutch went to the polls, many people thought PVV was destined to finnish first; instead it finished fourth.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/05/23/geert-wilders-eu-vote_n_5378826.html

    Both Le Pen and Farage did much better.

    • Andrew Allison

      The difference between the European Parliamentary election and the latest opinion poll sugests that Wilder’s explanation (from the article linked to) “Wilders blamed the disappointing score on a low turnout of around 35 percent, saying that “by staying home (voters) showed their loathing for and disinterest in the European Union. The Netherlands has not become more pro-European.” could be right. That said, as you point out, the only poll that matters is an election.

  • Andrew Allison

    It is clear that there is very significant anti-EU sentiment within the EU, sentiment to which Brussels appears blind. It will be interesting to see whether the EU Mandarins are willing to risk the rise of what TAI likes to refer to as “extreme right-wing” parties rather than address the issue by devolving some of its power back to the member counties. History suggests that, the political well-being of Europe be damned, they’ll hang on to the bitter end.

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