Aleppo Clash Shows Weakening Assad
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  • It took a real army to overthrow fellow Baathist Saddam and Mugsabe soldiers on in his 80s. I’m not counting Assad out yet.

  • Cunctator

    “The slow decline and fall of the House of Assad.”

    Measured in geologic time, it has indeed been very slow — but ultimately, at some point, sometime in the future, Assad will fall from power — or perhaps die of old age.

    I would have thought that by now, after more than a year, writers would be more circumspect in predicting the outcome of events in Syria. Assad might fall or he might not. I think it more likely that, measured in human time, the unrest will just continue: Assad not strong enough to suffocate it and the opposition too weak to dislodge him.

    • Walter Russell Mead

      @Cunctator: I’ve always thought this was a question of the amount of help the opposition inside the country can get from forces outside. They seem to be gradually attracting more financial and other support despite weakness and divisions. In any case, that is the key variable to watch.

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