Midnight EST, Friday, June 24, 2016It’s been an historic night, not just for the United Kingdom, but for the European Union and the world beyond. Britain has voted to LEAVE the EU.Markets are already reacting, with the pound having dropped to the lowest level since 1985.The American Interest website will have ongoing analysis and commentary on BREXIT. Please join me for the podcast on Tuesday.In the meantime, goodnight and good luck!11:40 EST*BBC NEWS CALLS THE REFERENDUM FOR LEAVE*11:35 EST*ITV NEWS CALLS THE ELECTION FOR LEAVE*Predicting 52-48% result11:30 ESTProfessor Matthew Goodwin says that UKIP strategy of cultivating working class communities in traditional Labour areas has paid off tonight. High turnout among these voters set to be the defining factor in the referendum, more than counterbalancing the strong Remain vote in London.11:15 ESTMarket watch: the pound has suffered the biggest drop in value since “Black Wednesday” in 1992.11:00 ESTNigel Farage back at the Leave.EU campaign HQ. Six hours ago he was predicting defeat. Now he’s exultant, saying, “Dare to dream … Let June 23rd go down as our Independence Day.”10:45 ESTIt’s 3:45 AM in the UK and there’s a definite lull in the count now, with most of the leading politicians clearly having left to take a nap before the result.Here’s an update on where we are:41.9% reportingRemain
6,076,476 votesITV News psephologists predicting an 80 per cent likelihood that Leave will win this referendum.Prof. John Curtis, BBC psephologist, is more cautious; says Leave now the favorites to be ahead by the end of the night but still too early to call.10:00 ESTLiverpool votes Remain by 58%, which is less than anticipated. Direction of travel in this referendum is with Leave.Vince Cable, former UK business minister, says the question now is whether Remain votes in “cosmopolitan” London and Scotland are enough to see off “everywhere else” in the country.9:50 ESTRobert Peston, ITN Political Editor: “It is inconceivable that David Cameron could stay on as PM if we vote Leave.”9:45 ESTTim Shipman of the Sunday Times on the crucial calculation tonight. Will London turn out in sufficient numbers to turn the tide?
Vote Leave source: at current rate they're on course for 150,000 fewer votes in London than hoped. But will more than cover that elsewhere.— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 24, 2016
The polls have now closed, democracy has been served + we await the verdict of the people. Thanks to everyone involved + everyone who voted— Boris Johnson (@BorisJohnson) June 23, 2016
The letter was signed by 84 MPs, two-thirds of those who publicly supported the Vote Leave Campaign list attached pic.twitter.com/CvKYCWyZJz— Robert Syms MP (@robertsymsmp) June 23, 2016