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foreign policy is back
Democrats Lose Edge with Women Voters

The most interesting finding of a recent NYT poll on voter preferences before the midterms: The Democrats have lost their edge with women. Though the NYT write-up of the poll doesn’t mention the change, it shows up in the accompanying graph. When asked “If the 2014 election for United States House of Representatives seats were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?” women favor Democrats over Republicans by one point only, 43 to 42 percent.

This is a huge swing in a short period of time: just one month earlier, women preferred Democrats by 51 percent to 37 percent in response to that question in a similar Wall Street Journal poll. Nobody quite knows what accounts for the shift, but given that support for President Obama’s foreign policy has seen similar big drops among women, it’s likely the recent global unrest is part of the cause.

Perhaps what we are seeing here is the awakening of the under-appreciated “Wal-Mart mom” Jacksonians. Many Americans are default Jacksonians who favor muscular use of force abroad to protect U.S. interests. But when things seem to be going reasonably well, their Jacksonianism lies dormant, and they can appear to be non-interventionists. It is only when threats pile up and the world begins to seem less safe that Americans reveal their true foreign policy colors. Mothers with younger children can, as any student of human nature will tell you, act aggressively if they feel their children’s safety is threatened.

Though Obama’s “war on women” rhetoric has served him well to date, it may be losing its pull among women now concerned about, well, actual wars.

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  • Suzyqpie

    People are sick of 0bama and the debris field that he has created. We have an invasion of international welfare predators with perhaps some muslim terrorist mixed in. We have John Kerry running around whining about global warming. We have the IRS running as a politicized thugocracy. On the bright side, we can all look forward to terrific political theatre watching how skillfully Hillary distances herself from the 0bama debris field. Yes, she made a contribution to the debris field but she can and will blame it all on 0bama.

    • FriendlyGoat

      Nearly every time I see one of your comments, it mentions Obama’s “debris field”.
      Seriously, do you know anything else to say? Do you even remember 2008?

      • Suzyqpie

        Hi Friendly, thank you for acknowledging the successful tautology. The plan is working.

      • Suzyqpie

        Yes I do remember 2008. The rich of WDC & WS, in the name of helping the poor, availed themselves to the assets of the middle class. It was awesome. It proved that WDC regulators do not know the difference between fraud and simply a bad investment. No one, to my knowledge, on WS or in WDC lost their jobs or were ever held accountable for anything. DoJ extorted some fines from WS. 2008 campaign contributions to 0bama: GoldmanSach $1,034,615, JPMorganChase $847,896, Citigroup $755,057, MorganStanley $528,182, quid pro quo is arguable. Then in as fine a display of Washingtonian irony that I have ever seen, WDC named the financial reform, DoddFrank, after the architects of the financial disaster, Dodd & Frank . But, not to be overlooked, DoddFrank does, de facto, insure that none of the financial market potential competitors of thee aforementioned 2008 0bama campaign donors, will ever be allowed to reach the size of the 2008 0bama donors operations. Wall Street is breaking new records as we speak, so I think I’ll go do a little day trading. Since 0bamaCare passed, another gift to WS, health care stocks share value have doubled. Thanks, 0bama!

        • Suzyqpie

          I meant to include a trading tip on the health care stocks, CI, WLP, HUM, UNH, AET. WS has made a fortune on 0bamaCare, so not to worry, the Rs will never do anything to interrupt 0bamaCare & damage WS.

        • FriendlyGoat

          So the Obama “debris field” is actually your trading gains? You love and hate Obama and Obamacare at the same time for different reasons? Strange stuff in print.

          • Suzyqpie

            I am not emotionally invested in the charlatans of politics. I don’t engage in love or hate in/of national politicians. Try to distance yourself from the roorback of apotheosis.

          • FriendlyGoat

            I would have sworn your first comment was engaging in hate of the Obama presidency. How do we misunderstand “People are sick of Obama and the debris field that he has created”?

  • Lyle7

    A few women have got to also be appalled at some of the rhetoric coming from leading Democrat women in Congress. Those pulling our hair comments are transparently beyond the pale.

    • Corlyss

      Well, they’ve been a disappointment for so long, at least to Congress watchers, that they haven’t been believable since the 80s.

  • Corlyss

    What? You mean women might not grovel at his feet for his refusal to send them into combat? Dims have treated women as one of their favorite plantationites since Eleanor Roosevelt labored mightily for the party to support their vote. The liberalism promoted by Dims made sex morals-free, enabled no-fault divorce to allow men to dump their wives without consequence, created generous welfare benefits for the abandoned and their kids, admitted women to the military without calculating the costs, including allowing them into combat units where they could be killed, injured, and captured. Why wouldn’t women embrace the Dims wholeheartedly?

  • Alexander Scipio

    … or about terrorists infiltrating America via Democrat’s open borders & coming to kill their kids, about which a big Blue gov can do zip

  • Jacksonian_Libertarian

    Women on the whole seem more credulous than men, who put more stock in actions rather than words “Actions speak louder than words”. This greater skill at detecting lies may explain the male dominance of Professional Poker, as well as other fields of human endeavor.

    • FriendlyGoat

      Men dominate Professional Poker because they are better liars AND more inclined to want to hustle each other, not because they are better lie detectors.

    • Andrew Allison

      I must spring to the defense of the fair sex. It is generally men who think that actions speak louder than words and women who prefer to negotiate settlements. There’s a perfectly understandable evolutionary reason for this (think tackling a wild animal versus maintaining good relations with the other women in the cave whose cooperation is important).

  • Bruce

    The poll is not believable. The Dems will continue to own the female vote, especially the lower income women. They vote for benefits and we know who is perceived as offering more. The low information women also believe Dem rhetoric that non-Dems really want to inhibit their sexual and contraceptive freedom. They will remain a loyal block not realizing that Roe v. Wade is settled law and their precious abortions will still be available – probably paid for by taxpayers. Blacks will continue to vote Dem by at least 90%. The Repubs would not be wise to put much credence in this poll.

    • Joseph Smith

      Jacksonianism is the dominant theory of foreign policy as WRM wrote in “Special Providence”, probably 70% to 80% of the population. Don’t underestimate its importance. Trying not to be sexist here, but women have the same reasons to be upset with the perceived weakness that may now threaten the homeland, but also other reasons. They don’t what their children to be in harm’s way; either here at home, or overseas where their children may be in the military.

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