Tomorrow, Wisconsinites head to the voting booths for the primary election to determine who will face off in the high profile gubernatorial recall. Governor Scott Walker faces little competition from within the Republican Party but will face strong opposition from angry, energized Democrats in the general.Ahead of the primary voting, Via Meadia checked the odds at Intrade, a nifty prediction/betting site. In the upper sixties last week, Walker’s chance of winning — according to the Intrade ‘investors’ — was down in the middle fifties at its low and is now creeping back up towards 60. (see chart here)But tomorrow’s vote is less about Walker than his challengers; there is an active contest among Democrats to stand against him. Leading in the polls is Tom Barrett, the mayor of Milwaukee. Barrett lost the Wisconsin governor’s race to Walker by 5 percentage points in 2010. Behind him is Kathleen Falk, formerly County Executive of Dane County. Both are campaigning on a pro-union, anti-Walker platform, and Barrett is heavily favored to win the primary.The general election is scheduled for June 5; this could be the biggest contest in American politics until next November. Falk is seen as the more pro-union and generally more liberal of the two Democratic candidates; Barrett has tangled with public sector unions as mayor of Milwaukee. In 2010 Barrett lost to Walker; the likely rematch will be a test not only of how effective an all out labor mobilization campaign is in what historically has been one of the most pro-union states in the country. It will also provide some insight into the dynamics this fall, when many of the same interest groups and donors pumping money into Wisconsin will be helping to drive the national race.This is a race worth watching.
Wisconsin Votes In Recall Primary