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Iran Talks Fail

Like the whole world, Via Meadia has been following the news from Iran, trying to get a sense of its intentions. That’s been tough even by normal Iranian standards. One day, they vow to close the Strait of Hormuz; another, they invite the IAEA for talks. One day, they denounce the West and all its works; another, they send a letter offering dialogue. They cry defiance at the growing sanctions facing them—and cut off oil to the Europeans before sanctons start to bite.

Unfortunately, there’s a little more clarity this week. The IAEA inspectors returned from their visit to Iran and said no progress had been made.

The IAEA said that in two rounds of discussions held in recent weeks, it had requested access to a military site at Parchin where the UN watchdog suspects that work to design a nuclear warhead has been undertaken. “Iran did not grant permission for this visit to take place,” the IAEA said on Wednesday morning.

So now we know. They have made the decision to go on concealing their activities from the inspectors. Iranian officials refused to allow IAEA inspectors access to a number of nuclear facilities. Why? Diplomats from abroad accuse Iran of using these facilities in a weapons program. If they aren’t, they could prove it.

The oil markets aren’t going to like this. And neither does Via Meadia.

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  • Kohl Haas

    With the same logic as Pascal’s Wager, the one man in all the world you must believe and not question is the man who says he wants to kill you.

  • Corlyss

    Since they were smart enough to help get Obama elected (by making things so unpleasant in Iraq after Bush had a significant failure of nerve in 2003), you’d think they’d be smart enough to stay quiet until after “their boy” is re-elected.

  • Toni

    Like I said, Iran has played for time since its nuke program was revealed in 2002.

    “Iran said today that it would consider granting more access to inspectors. ”We are studying positively the appeal by the International Atomic Energy Agency to sign an additional protocol,” Khalil Mousavi, a spokesman for Iran’s atomic energy agency, told The Associated Press.

    “Diplomats were skeptical that the shift in Iran’s position was genuine.” – NYT 6/18/2003

    Still waiting for Via Meadia’s assessment of Iran’s real intent and future behavior.

  • Cunctator

    How can anyone be surprised by the outcome of the IAEA’s latest contact with Iran? The approach, taking its lead from Washington, was always doomed to fail. The Iranian leadership knows exactly who they are dealing with, and how utterly spineless the West is.

    For years, knowledgeable people have been saying Iran has a nuclear weapons programme: and for as many years, there have been enough less-informed talking heads saying “no, there is no proof” or, as in the 2007 NIE, deliberately lying about what is going on to advance a personal agenda. All the time, evidence accumulated until, finally, last November the IAEA (admittedly under more competent leadership) released a report that said what needed to be voiced — Iran is hiding a great deal of its nuclear activities and doing so, most likely, for very worrying reasons.

    However, by then, political change in the US had brought to office an administration that is openly pro-Muslim, led by a president whose past associates include vicious anti-semites (Rev. Wright) and left-leaning radicals who are more critical of America than of America’s foes.

    So, out of this ghastly mix, you get a US policy of appeasing Iran and more concerned with restraining Israel (regardless of what happens). Iran knows this, and so can quite confidently ignore the IAEA and any other diplomatic pressure. Sanctions might have worked ten years ago, but now Iran probably feels it is so close to success that the regime can weather the economic difficulties. So that policy also will fail. Nothing at all surprising.

    One would have took far and wide for such appalling political leadership as we in the West have had to endure on this issue for the past few years. For many reasons, Americans will come to regret electing Obama, and his policy on the Iranian nuclear issue will figure prominently among them.

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