Some greens don’t feel they are living unless they are crying “Wolf!” The lastest wolfspotting call comes from the authors of the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook, who warn us that the year 2017 is the deadline for radically overhauling our energy-producing infrastructure before the chance to stop harmful climate change will “be lost forever.”Luckily, there are cooler heads watching this issue able to cut through the report’s sloppy reasoning. Former WRM CFR colleague and good friend Michael Levi has one of the coolest heads in the environmental world. The IEA report doesn’t impress him.The IAE thesis holds that greenhouse gas-emitting infrastructure constructed in the next 6 years will lock the world into a path towards an intolerable concentration of pollution. Yet Levi astutely points out a few major flaws in this idea: 1) it treats this “intolerable” threshold as a certainty rather than the probabilistic estimate that it is; 2) it pessimistically assumes that emission reductions in other sectors will be minimal, and 3) it assumes that, once on-line, energy infrastructure must be put to use.Policy advocacy is understandable, and Via Meadia believes that thinking about how our actions today will impact the world we pass on to future generations is an inescapable duty for every thinking person. The problem is that alarmist proclamations often motivate initiatives that end in disaster, and repeated hysterical overcalls destroy the credibility of the institutions that make them. Remember the boy who cried wolf.If more greens kept that boy in mind, more people might believe their reports.