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Media Mistakes Chilly Smile for Thaw

Are India and Pakistan about to kiss and make up?

Some observers think so.

They are wrong.

India and Pakistan have a long history of freezes and thaws — and journalists get too  excited either way.

Pakistan’s stylish new foreign minister has wowed the media with her youth and western ways.  Yawn.  As cynical (Indian) journalists note, Pakistan has a history of appointing ‘charming feudals’ (westernized and cultivated members of Pakistan’s civilian elite) to key foreign posts.  If the ISI is planning new strikes against Mumbai, the charming foreign minister knows nothing about them.  The Indian civilians may not know everything about India’s clandestine actions in Afghanistan and elsewhere as well.

Jaw jaw is better than war war, so I’m glad they are talking.  And it’s clear that Pakistan’s weak and broke government doesn’t need more crises on its plate.  But if politicians on either side think they can benefit, a new South Asian crisis will blow up overnight.

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