Obama’s Democrats have been handed a huge defeat in the midterms, but Obama’s signature health care law may have fared slightly better. CNN’s exit polls for the House races show that opposition to the ACA may be very shallow indeed. Just 49 percent of respondents believe the ACA “went too far” while 46 percent of respondents believe the ACA was “just right” or “did not go far enough.” That’s already a very thin margin for the anti-ACA camp. But on top of that, 25 percent of respondents listed health care as their top voting issue. Of that 25 percent, 59 percent voted Democrat against 39 percent who voted Republican.That means that the most energized health care voters are pro-ACA. Moreover, the data shows them only becoming more so over time. Of the 18 percent who listed health care as their top voting issue in the 2010 midterms, the vote skewed Democrat by only 4 percent (51 to 47). The most energized voters on a particular issue often wind up pushing the country towards their stance on that issue.All of this coheres with a recent meta-review of 27 different polls about the ACA, which revealed a pretty muddled middle on health care. There’s been some bad news for the ACA lately, but if these polls are any indication the law will limp on. Republicans who want to repeal it instead of reform it will face head winds—perhaps pushing the party to the kind of compromise on the issue already embraced by some GOP politicians.
ACA AgonistesObama’s Brand Thrashed, but Obamacare Survives
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