When we wrote about “Disaggregation and the Death of the West,” little did we know just how close to literally true our prediction would come. The ever-evolving Euro-mess could in fact result in a massive disaggregation in what is the ancestral heart of the West. When Samuel Huntington wrote The Clash of Civilizations, he wrote as if the west had become one thing: the ancient divide between the Latin West and the Northern West, for centuries one of the most important factors in European politics, had disappeared.It’s back now. The civilizational and cultural differences between the Club Med countries and Europe’s northern countries are once more making news; Latin Europe and Latin America look more like one another and less like Germany and the Netherlands.The EU will likely survive this re-emergence of an ancient divide, but it won’t be the same. The rise of Germany as once again the leading power in Europe, increasingly in a different league from France, Italy and Spain further complicates the picture. No amount of fudge can seem to get such very different countries and economies to act as one.And as the European project founders, America’s gaze wanders: on the heels of some successful diplomatic initiatives, the United States explicitly pivoted to Asia with the release of President Obama’s strategy document. Europe is not being abandoned, but it’s just not the focus any more. The document dryly notes that in the face of new demands that the Pacific theater will exert on U.S. armed forces, “our posture in Europe must also evolve.” Europe is for most purposes simply not an important factor in Asian geopolitics; the US doesn’t consult with NATO allies about its Pacific engagements.In the Middle East, the picture is somewhat different. The US and its primary Cold War allies in Europe have been working together in countries like Libya and Syria, and have coordinated policy pretty successfully vis a vis Iran. France, which pulled against US policy during the George W. Bush administration, now pulls with it to a much greater extent. This has reduced tensions in the western alliance, but should not conceal the increasingly tenuous nature of transatlantic cooperation. The influence of the Gulf Arabs plays as much or even more of a role in French policy as any sense of western solidarity or community of values with the US. France hopes to raise its profile in the Middle East as the US steps back; French diplomacy is extremely good when it comes to what could be called antagonistic cooperation.The increased independence and regional focus of Turkey is another sign of the disaggregation and death of the west. Ten years ago, the Kemalist secular establishment in Turkey still saw Europe as its destination and its goal was to be a western country of Islamic culture and origins. That is not at all what the forces ruling Turkey have in mind today, and Turkey is playing a larger role in the world of western Sunni Islam than at any time since World War One.Another sign of the change: the collapse of globalism and the rise of regionalism. The global institutions at the heart of world governance in the post World War Two era represented the projection of Atlantic values and concerns onto the whole world. In the World Bank, the IMF, the G-7 and the UN, Europe is powerful. Three of the five permanent members of the Security Council are European countries and one is of mostly European origin. The G-7 included only one country (Japan) that was not European or European-sprung.Today those institutions are both de-Europeanizing and being replaced by regional organizations with little or no European presence. Global institutions are generally becoming weaker and less effective, partly because as the European weight in them decreases, the differences in interests and culture among their members tends to paralyze them. (The WTO is a good example of this.)As the US shifts focus, Europe itself changes, and as new regional realities and priorities continue to come to the fore, the old Atlantic-centered world order continues to fade. It is much too soon to see what the new Pacific (and Indian Ocean) centered world will look like, but the US is already acting like a post-western power in it.