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Election 2016
The State of Play
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  • Angel Martin

    “Americans are probably looking at two more years of divided government. ”

    Professor Meade is too pessimistic. The first act of the UniParty will be to pass the TPP in the lame duck session.

    • WigWag

      Exactly. There aren’t two political parties; there’s the Republocrats who represent the elite. This “uniparty” has declared war on the majority of Americans. The uniparty is hard to defeat, because it occupies the commanding heights of the economy and culture.

      If history is any guide, two years from now we are likely to experience a wave election. There is little to no chance that Clinton will end up as a popular President and the Democrats have far more Senate seats coming up than the Republicans do. If the Democrats take the Senate in 2016, they are almost destined to lose it to the Republicans in 2018.

      The question is which Republicans will take the Senate in 2018, the Trump Republicans or the Establishment Republicans.

      As careful readers and fans of the American Interest, we’ve all been treated by AI editors to a litany of articles by Republican elites telling us why the Trump wing of the Party is so repugnant. This suggests to me that the Republican establishment and its blockheaded clerisy just doesn’t get it.

      What they don’t get is that tens of millions of Americans including most Trump voters and even most Hillary voters utterly reject what GOP elites are selling.

      GOP elites may love free trade; Americans are fed up with it. Americans don’t want a border-less world and they don’t want working class kids killed and maimed in wars designed to turn tribal societies into Jeffersonian democracies.

      To their horror, GOP elites have also been forced to confront the reality that the GOP rank and file hates the common core, couldn’t care less about charter schools, actively opposes entitlement reform and is perfectly happy to see taxes raised on the rich. If GOP elites think they can resurrect the Party’s chances by repeating the same old tired nostrums they’ve been preaching since the days before Ronald Reagan became senile, they’re sorely mistaken.

      The GOP elites do have one hope for regaining control of the Republican Party. It’s possible that middle and working class Americans are so economically and culturally beaten that the community simply doesn’t have the strength for sustained political action. The white working class is in free fall. They are hemoragging jobs, their communities are turning into ghost towns, they are losing the work ethic and they are experiencing huge increases in drug addiction. Self-respect and virtue are dissipating into the ether in these communities; it might just be too late. The inevitable result of the victory of the uniparty will be tens of millions of white working class Americans joining their black brothers and sisters in an underclass so dysfunctional that it is impossible to escape, probably for generations.

      If Trump loses, it’s very hard to know whether the movement he inspired will live to fight another day.

      It might not. If it doesn’t the victory of the uniparty will be a pyrrhic one because America’s greatest day’s will be behind it.

  • Dale Fayda

    “Almost any GOP candidate would have outperformed Trump against Clinton…” Really? Jeb Bush? John Kasich?

    • Andrew Allison

      Trump seems to be performing pretty well against Clinton, perhaps not well enough to win, but he certainly has the elites of both sides nervous. TAI seems unable to come to terms with the fact that there were 17 GOP candidates and the deplorables chose Trump.

      • Dale Fayda

        No kidding. I would wager that if the Republican establishment and commentariat gave Trump even a modicum of support after his nomination, he’d do even better. But they are essentially OK with being electoral losers, as long as the Democrats allow them to remain in the ruling class.

        • Andrew Allison

          I’d put it a little differently. I think that, in confirmation of their utter disregard for the People, the campaign has shown that the Republican establishment would rather lose the Presidency than let an outsider into their club. I just hope they get their noses well-and-truly rubbed into the mess they’ve created. Not, I hasten to add, that the Dems are any better, just better organized. The differences between the utterly corrupt failed state that is Ukraine and the USA are quickly narrowing.

      • Tom

        Around 40% of GOP primary voters chose Trump. A lower percentage than any other nominee in recent history.

        • Andrew Allison

          But more than any of the other candidates could garner, which was the point. What the size of the vote says about the GOP is another matter.

          • Tom

            That the majority’s problem was that they were split between multiple good candidates?

          • Andrew Allison

            Try convincing TAI that Trump is/was a good candidate [grin]

          • Tom

            Well, first I’d have to convince me. (Grins)

          • Andrew Allison

            Ah, ha! So what you meant was that a bad guy won the race because the votes for good-guys were split among many of them [grin] Wouldn’t a more reasonable argument be that the large number of candidates explains the mere 40% for the winner? It seems to me that the apparent closeness, despite months of attacks (from both sides and the MSM), of the final race is telling. Not, I hasten to add that I consider Trump to be a “good” candidate, but a lot of voters (perish the thought that their opinions matter) seem to think that the alternative is worse.

          • Tom

            The apparent closeness is more due to Clinton’s utter unsuitability as a presidential candidate than to particular virtues on Trump’s part. if the Democrats had nominated Webb or even Sanders as their nominee, Trump would be getting smoked.
            As to the primary vote, I’m inclined to think otherwise. All three of Trump’s main rivals–and, for that matter, nearly everyone else with a snowball’s chance in hell of getting the nomination–differed enough from Trump that I don’t see him benefiting from any of them being absent, except maybe for Cruz.

    • Boritz

      Exactly. You hear this assertion over and over and there is no evidence to support it. It is nothing but projection by minds that are made nervous by Tump but not by Jeb or Kasich. They fail to understand that to the kicked-to-the-curb class Jeb=Kasich=Hillary so even if they were right, which they are aren’t, we don’t care.

    • Tom

      Kasich definitely would have, although I agree on Bush.

  • Proud Skeptic

    Regardless of whether we think Hillary has no mandate, it will be publicized as one…drummed into the narrative by the media. It will start with glorifying the fact that we have our first woman president. Within a year the effects of the E Mail scandal will have gone down the memory hole. Eventually, Hillary will try to swap out ObamaCare for single payer and the Republicans will resist. Once again, the Republicans will be tattooed with the “obstructionist” label and the whole Obama nightmare will continue.

    In the meantime, Clinton will control the Justice Department and the FBI, making it impossible for an honest investigation of the Clinton Foundation to occur. This will galvanize right wing attitudes even more and the volume on that side will get cranked up.

    Not looking forward to the next four years. If Trump had not been nominated, it would all have been different. Hillary was easy to beat.

  • MikePM

    My gut feeling is that tomorrow, the American electorate is going to deliver the biggest shock to the miserable, corrupt status quo since Ronald Reagan crushed the incompetent malaise of the Jimmy Carter era.

    • Andrew Allison

      Fingers crossed!

    • MikePM

      Who called it? Oh yeah, this guy! ^

  • J K Brown

    Let’s compare

    Hillary had the money, the staff, the organization, the ground game, the support of the media, of the Democrats, of the Republicans in DC.

    Donald Trump had his good looks, such as they are.

    And Hillary is the bare favorite to win.

  • Boritz

    Your last paragraph seems much ado about nothing. Congressional Republicans don’t actually oppose the Democrats’ agenda. The consequence of one party or the other holding control of Congress is limited to perks exercised within the walls of the Capitol that affect only the elected officials themselves.

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