The stakes of Scotland’s independence vote go well beyond Scotland. There’s also the Irish question to consider, according to Ireland’s former European Affairs Minister Lucinda Creighton:
“I think it would inevitably lead to demand for such a referendum (in the North). I don’t know what the outcome of such a referendum would be. We are all committed now to the principle of consent in Northern Ireland, respective of both communities and that’s something I would feel very strongly about,” she said.She added the latest opinion poll was ‘a major wake-up call’ for Irish people and warned that calls for a referendum in the north could be damaging.“My fear is that a referendum of that sort in the North at this juncture would actually threaten the peace process and would alienate the Protestant community and could actually be very dangerous,” she said.
As of writing, both PredictWise and BetFair have the likelihood of independence at around 28 percent. And with both Conservative and Labour bigwigs heading off to Scotland to vigorously campaign for a “No” vote, in part by offering to devolve more powers, the triumph of the secessionists is far from certain.But make no mistake: this vote is a very big deal.