There is a true “red line” somewhere in the Middle East, Foreign Policy notes today:
It lies well outside Amman, somewhere in the hostile terrain to the east or the north. Were the armed ISIS extremists—who now call themselves representatives of the Islamic State and soldiers of the new caliphate—to cross this line, the current conflict that engulfs Syria and Iraq would likely explode and grow more complex and costly by quantum degrees. This is not the sort of red line that is the product of an ill-considered, halfhearted burst of presidential bravado. This is the type of red line that triggers historic change [….]
Jordan is one of the few Middle Eastern nations that is both stable and moderate. It is a key American ally, and neither the U.S. nor Israel can afford to let it collapse. At the moment, though, the U.S. has no way to prevent ISIS from turning south.ISIS has already declared it has Jordan in its sights. “We will even go to Jordan and Lebanon, with no problems”, they bragged in their recent recruitment video. Jordan has its own homegrown jihadi hotbeds, too, in cities like Maan.The price for America’s early inaction in Syria continues to rise.