Vali Nasr, a former WRM colleague at the CFR, has a very gloomy outlook on Syria. Check out the video of his remarks here.Nasr says:
The rebels are not democrats—they’re too fractured. This is an uprising that is becoming increasingly bloody. It’s now essentially a sectarian war between a minority Alawite regime and its Christian and Kurdish allies . . . this is no longer about democracy. And liberal democracy does not emerge in these kinds of circumstances of violence and fratricide.
He notes that “the very jihadis who once went from Syria into Iraq are now coming back from Iraq into Syria”, and predicts “massive bloodletting” and “some form of authoritarianism” emerging if Assad falls.Just because Assad is a butcher and a terrible head of state doesn’t mean that what comes after him will be better. Sometimes after Ivan the Terrible comes Ivan the Even Worse.“There will be no winners,” Nasr concludes. Unfortunately, he’s probably right.