According to the conventional wisdom, moderate Republican Senator Scott Brown was supposed to be toast in Massachusetts. After leftie Democratic hero and Harvard professor Elizabeth Warren entered the race riding a veritable tidal wave of favorable buzz and national publicity, the election had all but been called for her.There’s just one problem with this triumphalist narrative. The voters apparently don’t agree. Per the Boston Globe:
After a huge rush of optimism that Elizabeth Warren’s candidacy would end Scott Brown’s hold on his US Senate seat, Democratic insiders and activists are awakening to a new political reality, driven by a series of recent polls and Brown’s success these past few months in crafting an independent bipartisan image…A new poll released over the weekend by the Western New England University Polling Institute in partnership with The Republican newspaper of Springfield found Brown leading Warren, his top Democratic challenger, 49 to 41 percent. That closely reflects several other surveys taken in the last month that also show Brown with a lead.
Olympia Snowe’s retirement from the Senate has led some to pronounce the death of moderate Republicanism. But Brown’s enduring strength in Massachusetts suggests that a strong undercurrent of voter sympathy for this strain of American politics is alive and well, at least in New England.And another thing: it suggests that Howard Dean’s “Democratic wing” of the Democratic party puts voters off — even in Massachusetts.